September 2, 2019 at 9:56 am #21975
This might be an easy one for some of you, while others may not have yet considered it. Today’s challenge is a thought exercise.
Out of all the disasters in the world, what is the most likely one for you and your family?
This could be anything from natural disasters to financial problems to drought to gang violence. It all depends on where you live and what your family situation is like.
So today, tell me the most likely disaster that you and your family could face. Think carefully because tomorrow’s challenge ties into this one.
If you have some runner-up disasters you can list them too but try to narrow it down to the things that are extremely likely. (boy can I relate to the multiple disasters after living in the mountains of California for 5 years).
If you’re just getting started, look in this forum for the previous challenge so you qualify for the free ebook 🙂
September 2, 2019 at 10:44 am #21979
waves to Dorian
yea this one is easy for me
Hurricanes, and the locals prepare all year round for them. Kinda part of the culture living here, as its never a matter of if, but rather when. And while you can never get used to them, (as each is different ) prepping for them becomes second nature.
September 2, 2019 at 10:59 am #21983
I recently built a house in rural upstate NY (well, solar, wood stove, lots of trees). My biggest threats in Upstate NY are storm related power outages (snow storms here up to 4′ with horrible wind-chills). These power outages happen a few times a year and vary from a hour to a couple weeks. As @corsaire stated, we are used to the storms as a way of life.
September 2, 2019 at 11:23 am #21985
This is an easy one! Dorian. I think I’m ready with food, a camping stove and I’m freezing water today. I’m praying for everyone in its path.
My other concern is finances, i graduated in May but haven’t found a job yet. We’ll be okay till Decemberbut after that I’m not sure.
September 2, 2019 at 11:35 am #21987
Power outage & tornado
September 2, 2019 at 11:37 am #21988
Storms are probably the main concern. If nearby cities are impacted, then we’d have to be concerned about gang violence.
September 2, 2019 at 11:52 am #21990
Tornado, ice ( because when it happens in Texas people freak out) flooding. That all ties into power outage.
September 2, 2019 at 11:52 am #21991
Tornadoes, severe thunderstorms most likely here.
September 2, 2019 at 12:16 pm #21993
Power outrages, Tornadoes, flooding are probably the biggest disasters in my area .
September 2, 2019 at 12:17 pm #21994
Having moved to Colorado a little over a year ago, I am not sure of what nature has in store for this area, but I sill prepare for a blizzard and power outage. This past winter was not so bad but locals have told me this is not normal. Doing what I can to prepare to stay warm!
September 2, 2019 at 12:18 pm #21995
living in rural oregon, we have storm caused power outages every winter, since we are on well and septic, it”s
September 2, 2019 at 12:21 pm #21997
Biggest threats here would be tornadoes, and wildfires. Power outages wouldn’t be a biggie unless it was out for a week or so. We have fairly frequent power outages that usually last an hour to a few hours. So I don’t see that as a big disaster. A wildfire though…that’s a different story.
September 2, 2019 at 12:23 pm #22000
Living in Oregon the biggest threat is major earthquake. Living in America, my biggest fear is an EMP/power grid failure.
September 2, 2019 at 12:26 pm #22001
Where I’m at, I think the most likely are probably power outages and financials. The one that scares me the most is a major earthquake. I live right along a big fault line.
September 2, 2019 at 12:27 pm #22002
Wildfires and most of all an EMP.
September 2, 2019 at 12:32 pm #22003
I am in Texas so my worst would be tornados and power outage.
September 2, 2019 at 1:01 pm #22006
Our most likely disaster is to have everything wiped out by tornado.
September 2, 2019 at 1:01 pm #22007
Hands down my greatest threats are hurricanes and power outages. After Hugo we were without power for 14 days, so I ‘ve become more prepared with time and necessity.
September 2, 2019 at 1:15 pm #22008
Where I live our largest problem would be a large earthquake and wild land fires. We used to have frequent power outages for days. Now we have them for a few hours with the same frequency.
September 2, 2019 at 1:22 pm #22009
September 2, 2019 at 1:31 pm #22011
earthquakes, lots of snow. this summer, wildfires
high winds recently took down power for a few hours, but in the middle of town don’t usually lose power much.
September 2, 2019 at 1:35 pm #22012
1. Wildfires- grassfires or structure fire here in the village area are fought by the locals with shovels and garden hoses from our wells. Power down…. No water to fight with. I have around 500ft of new and nearly new hoses on hand.
2. Blizzards with extremely cold windy nights.
3. If our states largest city were starving I’d be afraid of roving gangs finally reaching here. It’s a notorious city for vehicle theft. Usually #1 in the nation. Were a hour away in good weather and 1 mile off the interstate.
September 2, 2019 at 2:04 pm #21989
Day 2 challenge: An extended electrical power outage as a result of natural weather incidents is most likely for me. I live out in the rural county, so when wind or ice storms knock down power lines, we tend to be without for a longer period as repair work initially focuses on higher population areas. Normally our gas lines are not impacted so in my situation, I can heat my home and cook. Water availability so far has not been impacted. So unless we experience something really crazy like a nuclear power plant melt down (there are a bunch of those around) our location is perhaps safer than others.
September 2, 2019 at 2:25 pm #22019
1) Tornado, High winds that take down our trees and power lines, along with the heavy rain that could infiltrate the basement.
2) Bad winter weather: heavy snowall, super cold/windy blizzards, and/or ice storms. Again – downed trees and power lines, plus being unable to get up our driveway which is a fairly steep hill. Lack of power means no heat, despite having a propane source and the furnace fan will not move the heat through the house.
3) I guess it all comes down to – Power Outage.
September 2, 2019 at 2:50 pm #22023
Power outages due to storms (summer and occasionally winter).
September 2, 2019 at 3:27 pm #22027
For us on East Coast of VA. It is hurricanes, tornadoes, and Nor’easter. Winter it is not so bad. We do get snow and sometimes ice but not that bad. I usually stay home till it melts and just clean up driveway and walkway. We have lost power for a full 2 weeks and had no problem. Only thing is that we have a whole house gen. and it failed. Seems the ones made the year we got ours had some issues and the company took care of that and no more problems, but I still prepare for power outages because of that. We had dry ice in freezer that kept our food frozen for 7 days. Then we put food in cooler and took to Farmers Market and put in their freezers as they had a generator and kept Market open for people to get food to eat and to get water for their jugs. We stayed and kept the coffee going for people. DH’s cousin owns the market and we gave out free coffee and had hoses pulled for people to get water anytime day or night. That was when the neighborhood next to us, part on well water and a tornado took out the pumping station. We were on septic tank at that time as well but was on city water. So those on well was without water for 2 weeks and did not prepare. Everyone because of that was put on city water and we had to go off septic and on city sewage because of that. it changed the landscape of the other neighborhood.
September 2, 2019 at 3:34 pm #22031
The number one for me would be a natural disaster. Specifically hurricanes.
September 2, 2019 at 3:42 pm #22032
Winter storms causing power outages. Also, living near a college campus where a bunch of scared students with no leadership could mean intense looting and violence if the institution doesn’t have appropriate emergency measures.
September 2, 2019 at 3:57 pm #22033
The one that happens most and therefore, most dangerous: Wildfire Many, many, many, many alerts and Evacs from that one.
Secondary in danger would be power outage in very cold winter. Power outage in milder weather is no challenge. BTDT many times. However, staying warm enough to survive in subzero has never been a problem we could completely solve as renters. Well, we can huddle around Buddy Heater and hug the very large dog…. not freeze to death, hopefully. Not a real solution.
September 2, 2019 at 4:10 pm #22034
First, financial. Then, civil unrest , weather
related, and earthquake. (Willamette valley,
September 2, 2019 at 4:34 pm #22036
wild fires, cold weather, earthquakes, emp, extended power outages, financial shortages are now a way of my life
September 2, 2019 at 4:47 pm #22038
Nancy E Griffith GriffithParticipant
Number one would be flooding since my back yard is the back water for the Ohio River. Number two would be earthquake since a fault runs down the river. We are pretty well ready for number one, still not sure how to handle number two. We have food, lighting and meal prep taken care of if power goes but not sure what else I can do if a earthquake happens.
September 2, 2019 at 5:04 pm #22041
In the winter it would be a blizzard and in the summer a drought which would lead to lots of wild fires.
September 2, 2019 at 5:32 pm #22042
As a single mom, financial is the biggest threat right now. Working on getting savings built up and paying off debt.
September 2, 2019 at 5:59 pm #22043
When I lived in California and now also here in the Rocky Mtns. the biggest threat is earthquakes. Next would be winter storms & power outages.
September 2, 2019 at 6:43 pm #22045
Tornadoes, for sure. The bad ones in 2017 missed us by less than 1/2 mile. Power was out for 4 days. Outbreak this spring missed us by not quite a mile, power was only out about 18 hours.
September 2, 2019 at 7:12 pm #22046
Living in Central Florida, Hurricanes are ALWAYS a possibility. I’ve lived here my whole life so prepping for it is something that was always second nature. My BIGGEST concern for disaster, though would be any kind of EMP. THAT would be the absolute worst case scenario, I would say, for the entire nation.
September 2, 2019 at 8:06 pm #22051
The most concern for my area is wind/storm damage? Central Alabama
September 2, 2019 at 8:38 pm #22055
The areas which are of most concerning to my family are; first & most concerning is financial,second is power outages, third is hurricanes, and last but not least are ice storms & blizzards.
September 2, 2019 at 8:53 pm #22057
Blizzard in winter and fire summer… but all set up against those two. So near zero actual risk to my land,animals or buildings.
September 2, 2019 at 9:11 pm #22059
September 2, 2019 at 9:16 pm #22061
My biggest concerns are tornados and financial.
September 2, 2019 at 9:50 pm #22065
The biggest threat in my area is winter storms. I live in a small town that hasn’t had tornado hit, so I think I’m okay on that one (altho they terrify me). We had an ice storm ten years ago that put us without power for 10 days. I have a generator and if that isn’t enough then we’ll leave and go to one of two places that have propane heat systems with backup wood stoves. My preps involve getting them (my son and my bf) prepped in case they lose power also.
September 2, 2019 at 10:43 pm #22069
In my area weather issues top the list (tornado, flood, winter storm) since we live on a dead end road with a bridge we could be stranded due to flooding or ice, next would include accident/terrorism at the local base.
September 2, 2019 at 10:50 pm #22070
Number one for me is tornadoes, Second, another Depression that will be far worse then the one in 1929, we WILL lose our retirement and savings ( I AM putting cash away in the house) Third, food shortages, that’s why I have been stocking the house( and trying to grow food) but still want to do better with storing water, food and the other necessities. We also have a standby generator, which over the last few years has been great BUT I also want to get solar and possibly wind turbines in case they shut the gas off during a natural disaster. I have a wood burning fireplace, grill and camp stove so we can cook if power goes out and the gas, if shut off, then the new stove won’t work.
September 2, 2019 at 11:10 pm #22071
Financial meltdown – all of our income comes from the federal government and we are so vulnerable. We are also supporting or help supporting 2 of our adult children and their families. My husband is really worried that we could lose our home.
September 2, 2019 at 11:27 pm #22073
Ok. Here goes. I am 3 years away from retirement. I think it might be too late to prepare for when the Shtf. I don’t trust the government to be honest with peoples retirement money and keep their sticky fingers off of it.
I fear the US will become like other governments and just declare a bank holiday. For the good of the country. Of course.
Soooo, how do I become self-sufficient when the pay checks stop. I don’t know if this is what you mean by a worry. But DH is not on board. And retirement planners assure me I have nothing to worry about. “That could never happen here in American.”
Other concerns would be, food stores and how to begin.
Or joining with other people, that are like minded and not having to worry about being scammed.
And getting my family to stop rolling their eyes when I talk about being prepared. Or saying “we will just come to your house.” How does one person save for nine people?
Thank you for your time and your site. I have been reading some of it.
September 3, 2019 at 12:07 am #22080
I don’t think it’s too late for you to prepare. I know many people say store food, medicine, goods. But honestly I think after a certain point skills will be the bottle neck. While having food, and medicines stored up will be very useful, skills is what will determine who will last. When I say skills I’m referring to skills such as gardening, hunting, and making things (think of taking wool from a sheep and making clothes) or having the knowledge and know how to make a solid building from a tree. Yes my examples are probably crude (to a certain extent) but go back about 2-4 generations they did not have most of what we think are common or readily available. That’s where I’d make a start.
As for the family (which is the only concern I know I can talk about), with any luck they’ll find some of the hand crafts (which are excellent gifts besides prepping skills) are worth learning and persevering (not to mention safe $$ after a time). Which can help with becoming more prepared for the long run)
This is my two cents and my probably optimistic view on knowledge and skills…..I know that things probably need to get really bad – or worst before they may become valid but I almost always figure expect/plan for the worst so your not caught unawares. (side note I probably will but I am working on being a bit more optimistic for the future)
September 2, 2019 at 11:48 pm #22076
For my location it’s mostly earthquakes and job loss are the major issues for me. I’m applying to get a federal (state bare minimum) job that’s permanent and year round but those jobs are difficult\rare to get. I’m also working on saving extra funds in case of a job loss or even earthquake and relocating pending on job that can help pay off my college debt (quicker)- getting close if I stay to my plan that will be paid off in about 2 years min 3.5 max if I can keep to my plan/goal (while working 2 jobs). Currently located in CA, but if I can get towards the northern most part of the state I can deal with the nonsense from the central/southern part of the state (to a certain extent) and the biggest issues (earthquakes) of the state barring the political issues, I’d be able to ride the waves of any major issues (mostly volcanic in the northern most borders and droughts). Even at that I’m still working on a 3-6 month cost of living back up. That means living way below my means – hello beans/rice and chicken on occasion, while trying to get to an area where the people still have the small town thoughts/vibe.
Currently I work for a construction company and I see how the the cards can fall when things take a turn for the worst. Which worries me the most, and is the major cause for me trying to get out of my location and back to an area that you put in the work and effort is recognized and respected. I was raised in a small town that there was no big city nonsense and I had to respect the custodian as much as I would the mayor (if my town decided to even have an honorary mayor – to small and unincorporated) and that would be very nice to settle down in or at least try to pending on location.
(sorry for the long post)
- This reply was modified 1 year ago by Lastiel Rusc.
September 3, 2019 at 1:03 am #22081
In rural northern VT, biggest problem is power outages for whatever reason (longest one in 30 years has been 3-4 days). This means no water (deep well). Also, since we are in a river valley, potential flooding but it would need to be a 100 year flood to impact us.
September 3, 2019 at 4:22 am #22084
Strong winds and winter waves
September 3, 2019 at 4:32 am #22085
The Big One. Pacific NW
September 3, 2019 at 5:47 am #22086
I live in Central Florida, so hurricanes. At least we have time to get the preps out. My generator stopped working during the 2017 storm (at the very beginning) and I fared just fine because I had what I needed. My Berkey, flashlights, and battery operated fans. I was ready for Dorien, and even convinced a couple friends to do something, and now we will just have lots of twigs and moss to clean up. Grateful for that.
September 3, 2019 at 7:39 am #22090
Job loss and being trapped by water. We live pretty high up here, but the two access roads have been known to flood when things get really wet.
September 3, 2019 at 7:56 am #22091
Winter storms or ice storms meaning poweroutatges.
Got a wood burning stove in the kitchen, so that is no worries. Do have to keep the furnace going, just to keep the pipes from freezing. But, with the blower no power, the rest of the house can get chilly.
September 3, 2019 at 9:18 am #22095
In Ohio – blizzard is the most common cause of losing electricity. We can have flooding where we live, but the house is on a hill so it stays dry. We have a wood burner and propane gas stove so we can stay warm and have hot food in the short term.
EMP is my biggest concern when considering long-term disasters.
September 3, 2019 at 11:26 am #22105
Day 2 challenge would be power outages due to weather conditions, then, maybe tornados.
September 3, 2019 at 1:08 pm #22113
Gonna flip on the seasons for me, either a blizzard or flooding/flash-flooding. Tied to both of those would be power outages, then the roads being blocked or washed out, respectively.
If non-natural disaster is also a consideration, economic collapse is the one that would probably be what I’d consider as the main one to worry about for me. That or some more basic financial things and trip ups, which would be more likely, tbh.
September 3, 2019 at 1:15 pm #22115
For us, the 2 major threats are earthquakes, then wild fires.
September 3, 2019 at 3:21 pm #22135
Most likely disasters for us would be power outage, civil unrest, earthquake with road damage, fire and any other damages due to all the complex’s smart meters attached to our wall. Divorce and finances are a thought too. National unrest, loss of savings.
September 3, 2019 at 3:29 pm #22136
There are many possible threats but #1 danger in summer and Fall is wild fires. 2 near us recently burned thousands o f acres but were remote enough to endanger no one. We keep a minimum of 400ft or new or waterside handy. There is no county fire help. It’s up to neighbors helping neighbors. If power were gone no one is yet set up to pump their wells. I have the close areas first solar array just to power my home. I’m gathering the things I need to power a pump in my second well with solar. The other well is on commercial power. I have 3 generators. Only the 9k could run the 220v well. I have enough gas to pump an hour now and then for two weeks. That could easily flush toilets and refill drinking water. As for garden watering and critter water. If we couldn’t run the pump we have stored water. 1980 gallons for critters or garden, 230 gallons strict for garden, 165 gallons outside potable water and 48 gallons in the home potable and 6 gallons strictly to flush the toilet. Along the drip line of my mobile home I have some plastic storage bins lined up to catch rain water a short hard rain will almost fill them. I water scattered plantings and 6 buckets of tomato plants with that container water first. Plants love the rain water and I can’t leave standing open water for long of mosquitoes will be breeding and the containers will be full of little wiggle tails. If that does happen I just pour the water on the garden and let the bins dry out.
September 3, 2019 at 4:23 pm #22140
A power outage is most likely, though we might also consider other runners up, like a job loss or sudden health issue, a severe snow/ice storm in the winter, or even a tornado.
September 3, 2019 at 7:08 pm #22149
Food continuing to get less available and more expensive is my main concern.
September 3, 2019 at 7:52 pm #22151
Blizzards and very heavy snow- happens every year though and we deal with it.
I used to like to take a walk in a blizzard but not so much anymore.
September 3, 2019 at 9:07 pm #22162
Where I am located in Southern Ohio, the storms seem to have picked up in intensity and the winds are stronger. My concern used to be tornadoes but actually now, just storms in general. We have had stronger and larger hail and more straight line winds or super cell storms. We have a lot of flash flooding now.
September 4, 2019 at 1:38 am #22169
For us – job loss. Hubs makes good money I could, if I worked.
September 4, 2019 at 2:16 pm #22185
Flooding, wind, looting from gangs and financial. Unfortunately all equally troubling.
September 4, 2019 at 2:29 pm #22190
hurricanes are a possibility as are massive winter storms – both have happened. Also I live in the city that was the site of the largest man made explosion prior to the atomic bomb, so that could happen again.
September 5, 2019 at 12:00 pm #22236
This one is tough for me. Drought would be a biggy, but we are surrounded by natural water, I live in the country so power outages are common. We could have a tornado, but it’s not as common. I think I am more worried about an economic crisis than anything.
September 5, 2019 at 1:09 pm #22243
Thinking a bit more on it, it’s possible that drought could be an issue as well. It was for about a year and a half a while back, but at present, severe rains and flooding have been more predominant for the past several years, so I’ve focused a bit more on that at the moment
September 5, 2019 at 6:40 pm #22256
Challenge 2, Hurricanes and ice storms which usually include power outages.
September 5, 2019 at 7:32 pm #22260
Tornadoes, Hurricanes, and Ice Storms. Even though we live 200 miles inland, we were hit by a Cat 1 hurricane (Ivan) in 2004. These are the ones I consider most likely as far as a natural disaster. Of course, I always worry about economic collapse.
September 7, 2019 at 9:32 am #22323
Our biggest disasters are usually ice storms in winter. In the spring summer, tornadoes and lately flooding and/or droughts.
September 7, 2019 at 9:39 am #22329
Power outages, emp, there’s a nuclear power plant not far away so that’s on the list.
September 7, 2019 at 9:43 am #22331
Easy for me. 11 months ago my home was wrecked by Hurricane Michael. Hurricanes and flooding, followed by looting. I learned a great deal in the aftermath. My home is rebuilt up to code now…and we can see if I learned anything good…
September 8, 2019 at 3:17 am #22367
Financial issues. Civil unrest.
September 9, 2019 at 9:55 pm #22467
We live in a desert city. A loss of electrical pumping power, means a loss of water. People start dying in three days or so, and react badly earlier than that.
September 10, 2019 at 4:49 pm #22507
Hi Ronald. Another desert dweller here. Eater is an essential here as well.
September 13, 2019 at 11:00 am #22632
Our #1 would be power outages due to storms- whether they be thunder, snow, or ice. #2 would be a major chemical spill. I think we live far enough away from a major chemical and agri chemical producer, but just in case….
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